UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov

New card. A whole new event. Forget about last week. I don’t care. Either way, I don’t care. What even happened? You know this. Perhaps I don’t. You can’t believe anything you see. What? I’m a PPV killer now? No. Just adjusting. To one day be something less ugly than I am now. I want to be the best. Take the positive validation and turn the page. I want to rip their hearts out. That’s what drives me. The worst car in the city and all. Something about having to play catch up makes everything else so much easier. It seems like the pages on the book are flipping really fast.

Lapilus vs. Stamann

Lapilus ML? I think that’s the play. You can take the finish but I’m not doing more than pocket change on this. 

Moura vs. Gomes

I’ve been waiting to bet Moura. Look into her eyes and tell me what you see. We don’t have to talk about it. La nueva generación. Moura ML 3.0 units. Yeah, you like that? Switching over to units because I want to fit in. Get your reservations in place. 

Castaneda vs. Marcos

Speaking of my patience, I think this weekend it pays off, once again. Daniel Marcos is an opp. It’s written in the stars. I’m hammering here. I’m jack hammering until I finish. This is going to be a lot of money here, guy. We’re talking 2 units on Castaneda ML. Heat check waiting to happen. If he boxes the bleeding head off and kicks the bleeding leg off - so be it. “This is MMA, bro, not boxing.” John will show him deep waters. 1 unit on the over in rounds. 

Lee vs. De La Rosa

1 unit on De La Rosa. I just have to. That’s fam, by proxy. Truly a story that perfectly captures how superficial and vapid I am. I regret nothing but, angel’s reading, remember, people change. It’s not about what’s on the outside, it’s about what’s on the inside. A hypocrite, too. Nobody is amused here. Just throw out the due diligence.

Radtke vs. Prates

I’m not going to bet this fight. Radtke has earned my admiration, homophobic slurs and all. Prates was love at first sight. The head tat, ‘Muay Thai’ on the chest, Brazilian, great striker. He has all the intangibles you want to see. Add to this the stone cold stare. He’s great. I just can’t doubt Chuck Buffalo. I’ll probably never doubt Prates if he KOs Radtke. That’s not where we are, however. Perhaps I’m going to be on the outside looking in on the rise of Prates’ star. Perhaps. The odds make it look that way. I just don’t see anything clear enough to bet. Fan fight (might throw a few dollars at the Radtke by decision).

Moises vs. Klein

I think this fight goes to decision and Klein steals it or Thiago finishes Klein. That’s how I’m betting it, in a way. Over on rounds 1.5 units. Moises ML 1.5 units. Fight to go to decision .5 unit. Dark horse. Dark horse.

Baeza vs. Soriano

Watched film on this one. I thought perhaps I had never seen a Baeza fight. No. He’s just that fucking boring. I think that if you play nice with him, he beats you. If you take some of his shots and walk him down, you beat him. Punahele lives for the grind. Baeza will be on his back foot. Less power. I like Soriano ML for 1.5 units.

Marquez vs. Reese

Zachary got heat checked. It happens. When you get heat checked by Cody Brundage…more questions than answers begin to emerge. Then Brundage survives Nickal. Things look slightly better. I’m on the side of life now where I want to believe in people. I want to bet on the little guy. The pomp, the tramp, the hobo. Reese 1.5 units. Over on rounds 1 unit.

Ferreira vs. Soltzfus

The odds on this fight are pretty misguiding, I think. It’s a bad sweat even if it stops going to the Hulk’s side (which I don’t think it will). Yeah, Ferreira wins if he can catch Soltzfus, or put a pace on him. Are you willing to bet that at this price? Nothing about this fight stands out for me. 185 has shown things to me, however. If it’s muddled, be on the safe side like the two men in the cage. This fight ends up being more conservative. I like the over on rounds for 1.5 units.

Rosas vs. Turcios

Fuck this fight. I just want it to be over with it. I like Turcios out of spite. There’s a certain part of our soul - which is within all of us - that loves being a perfectionist. Let’s say it like that. Leave it settling where it sits. Turcios ML for whatever $5 bills are stuffed under the mattress and in the couch at your place.

Reyes vs. Jacoby

I’m not betting this because I don’t have to. I feel like Reyes survives. I might bet the over on rounds, but these are bigger strikers and that can always backfire. I think that’s my only bet because the Dustin line is getting a bit steep. That’s more me wanting to be within 200. If you want to play it here, play it. I’m being a bitch. Wait, what’s happening. Let’s lean into it. Jacoby ML 2 units.

Cannonier vs. Imavov

Now I’m really not betting. But I bet it’s a weird fight. It ends up becoming some sort of boxing event with grappling seasoned into it (Cannonier for sure, somehow). I won’t bet, though. I won’t bet. It goes to a decision and then people wonder who won because they both ultimately can’t finish. You have to finish whoever is in front of you. Going to decision ends up coming down to mentality, I’ve learned. When memory fails me, my moments right now aren’t so sour. There’s something that festers euphoria nearby. All it takes is reaching out, with a piece of yourself, into a conversation that you can never leave until it’s over. That’s finishing.