Prelims:
Marc Diakese learned how to wrestle seemingly over night. Coming off that robbery, I think he edges out a win against Kaue Fernandes. Good regional fighter, I just think Marc is a tough first test. Decision victory. Throw $200 on Marc. Wouldn't be surprised if it's 29-28 with Fernandes stealing a late round.
Angela Hill by KO due to old woman strength. I just don't think the 23 year old will have the experience to deal with getting stunned. Close fight and if it goes into the 3rd I can see a submission by Denise Gomes. Throw $100 on Angela by KO.
Vitor Petrino fights like you stole his grandma's EBT card. Bukauskaus, on the other hand, has shown that he is a true light heavy weight, that he can claw his way back into this organization, and that he is a tough bastard. This fight is probably the one that bites me in the ass. $350 on Vitor Petrino money line. I predict Petrino by KO in the 1st. Don't be surprised if Bukauskas eats his punches and pulls out a decision. I just love how Petrino tracks all his opponents down as if they've come back with a light bag one to many times.
Always bet against a Daniel. Especially if they're South American and throw naked leg kicks. I actually like the UFC debutante in this one. He comes out fast and has a strong ground game which Marcos won't like. $100 on Victor Hugo money line. Hugo by submission in the 2nd.
Elves Brenner is a lunatic and he's won me a lot of money because of it. -162 favorite as of 10/31/2023 15:57 CDT and it helps a lot that he is fighting another bum from South America. Elvis can do whatever he wants with Ribovics. Go clock into your call center job and start draining those elderly bank accounts. Secure the funds on the baby boy Brenner. I'm talking millions. Brenner finishes him in the 1st. DISCLAIMER: There is rumors this fight gets cancelled. Hopefully not because I like seeing Brenner Berserk.
Main Card:
If you have the money, throw down your life saving's on Ismael Bonfim. Odds are probably not worth it, however. 1st round submission might be -105 or something unexciting like that.
Petrosyan is tough. Beats tough guys. He beat Robocop ( albeit early in Robo's career), Dobson, and, most recently, Duncan with the crazy kicks. Mike Tyson said it in another context but, "I like tough guys." Tough guys win. Armen is only a -120 favorite but that will change. I love the stock. $250 burning a hole in my pocket on Armen money line. Petrosyan by TKO from ground and pound in the 2nd.
Speaking of tough guys, the last guy to beat the aforementioned Armenian tough guy, is none other than Caio Borralho who happens to fight immediately after Armen. -280 as of 10/31/2023 16:07 CDT, that's probably as low as you're gonna get him. Worth the $280 money line buy in. Borralho by submission in the 1st.
Upset alert. I think Dalby is a hardo who can give Bonfim some issues. Perhaps I just want to waste $75. The more likely scenario is Bonfim by first round submission.
+350 on the Black Beast means I get to dumping. Watch your $150 bet grow your empire. Derrick with a gas tank? I think he stops Almeida in the 2nd round by TKO from ground and pound. Just stand up, Jiu Jitsu is fake. Almeida will try to drape Derrick to the cage, which does scare me, however, I think Almeida doesn't know what it means to be hit by a heavy weight, much less DL. If Almeida is able to impose his gameplan on Derrick, that throws a huge wrench into the heavy weight division (like it needed it).
NFL Week 9
I debated wanting to write about team sports again because live gambling is truly where it's at with those. That being said, I can still give my thoughts and opinions WHILE also kicking my toes around in the pool of sportsbooks. Also, I'm not going to talk about certain games too much. Forget the crumbs, eat the bread.
Mike Tomlin in primetime at home after a bad loss with a beat up Kenny Pickett. You know the drill.
Crumbs. Cleveland moneyline. That's it. -370 is dumb but whatever. If Stafford plays, Los Angeles spread. Houston spread, I like the OC. Washington spread. Sam Howell doesn't care about his well being but it plays for him and Bienemy. Not betting that Saints vs. Bears game. Falcons spread. Trust fund baby Arthur Smith will have that defense on fire even with injuries. Colts money line if you like to play every game. I'm probably not betting it. Las Vegas spread is a solid play, actually.
Kansas City at Miami:
The only reason this game gets any of my attention is because Kansas City looked like shit last week. Odds are the Chiefs blow them out and cover because the Dolphins are actually frauds and injured, but you never know. Matt Nagy is bad at his job. I think he's also bad with people. And bad with life. If the Chiefs come out running the ball, hammer Chiefs -9.5 alternate spread by half time. That's the key to their offense. El 'Checo can do it. I want to see the Fins do well, I do. MCMANIEL. They are just injured and don't have a good defense, as stated above.
Seattle at Baltimore:
I think Baltimore is real but Seattle just wins. I'm going to wait and see if Baltimore ever gets to positive odds on money line live and then I'll get in to play. Seattle is starting to get more of their weapons involved. I wonder if there won't be hiccups from the Baltimore run game. The Gus Bus is known to get a flat tire once in a while. I want Baltimore to win because Lamar is fun to watch, I just keep getting this feeling Seattle is just a town full of crazies indoctrinated by Canadian communism and Pete Carrolisms. Do with that what you like.
Dallas at Philadelphia:
This is actually a crumbs type game because the Cowboys are also frauds. Prescott will get rattled around then the turnovers will come. Philadelphia don't seem to have any quit in them. Dumping on Eagles spread.
Buffalo at Cincinnati:
Josh Allen is ultimately not who I thought he was. Nonetheless, that doesn't mean I have to dislike him. He's becoming white Jameis Winston. It will actually be a lot of fun to bet Cincinnati money line against him because I know he is going to make it interesting and I play for the fun of it. Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Los Angeles C. at New York J.:
I'm not betting this game because I have no idea what will happen between these two teams in primetime. Both will want to self implode due to second nature. Ugly football sometimes is beautiful football. I do feel like painting my face green while gutturally yelling "J-E-T-S JETS!" Bolts might be even more cursed then the men in green.